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Article · Gulf-wide · 28 September 2026
Fears vs Reality: an honest series about the worries people have about AIArticle · No single place · 28 September 2026
AI Camps: 'Doomers' and the p(doom) debateArticle · No single place · 28 September 2026
AI Camps: a calm map of the AI debateTracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
Frontier AI is concentrated and becoming less transparent: industry produced 90%+ of notable models in 2025; transparency index average fell from 58 to 40.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
Misinformation/disinformation ranked 2nd most severe global risk (2-year); adverse outcomes of AI 5th (10-year).Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
UN to establish an Independent International Scientific Panel on AI (40 experts) and a Global Dialogue on AI Governance.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
EU high-risk (Annex III) rules apply from 2 Dec 2027; Annex I from 2 Aug 2028.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
EU AI Act high-risk rules to apply from 2 Aug 2026.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
EU AI Act obligations for general-purpose AI models apply from 2 Aug 2025.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
Frontier models may give meaningful bio/chem uplift to novices; developers added safeguards because they could not exclude it.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
AI lowers the barrier to sophisticated, largely autonomous cyberattacks.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
Masdar/EWEC round-the-clock project (5.2GW PV + 19GWh storage, 1GW continuous) operational in 2027; "world-first" (Masdar).Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
AI will raise total factor productivity by no more than 0.66% over ten years.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
Generative AI could raise global GDP by about 7% over ten years.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
"The cost to use a given level of AI falls about 10x every 12 months."Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
The end of disease: "within reach. Maybe within the next decade or so".Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
AGI "in the next five to ten years".Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
AI can produce science recognised at the highest level.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
The length of tasks AI agents can complete doubles roughly every 7 months.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
"By the end of the century … we will still be wondering if the singularity is near."Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
"I'll be surprised if this event occurs before 2005 or after 2030."Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
"Within thirty years, we will have the technological means to create superhuman intelligence."Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
Large language models as "stochastic parrots": risks of size, cost, bias and documentation.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
Worrying about evil killer AI is like worrying about "overpopulation on Mars".Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
Deep learning is "hitting a wall"; scaling laws are "mere observations that might not hold forever".Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
Existential-risk probabilities "lack meaningful epistemic foundations".Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
AI's impacts will unfold over decades, like electricity, as institutions adapt.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
LawZero will develop "Scientist AI", a non-agentic system to act as a guardrail.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
Extinction from AI by 2100: superforecasters median 0.38%, AI experts median 3%.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
"25% chance that things go really, really badly"; 75% really, really well.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
10–20% chance AI leads to human extinction within three decades.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
"Pause for at least 6 months the training of AI systems more powerful than GPT-4."Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
*If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies*: argues building superintelligence would lead to human extinction; says creation "can still be prevented".Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
Call for an indefinite, worldwide moratorium on large training runs, enforced by international agreement and monitoring of hardware.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
"The most likely result of building a superhumanly smart AI, under anything remotely like the current circumstances, is that literally everyone on Earth will die."Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
"In the 2030s, intelligence and energy… are going to become wildly abundant."Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
"2027 may see the arrival of robots that can do tasks in the real world."Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
"2026 will likely see the arrival of systems that can figure out novel insights."Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
The goal is to make intelligence and energy extremely cheap (manifesto).Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
"We believe Artificial Intelligence can save lives – if we let it." "We believe any deceleration of AI will cost lives."Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
NLLB-200 improves translation quality by an average of 44% (BLEU) over prior state of the art, across 200 languages.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
Seha Virtual Hospital is the world's largest virtual hospital (Guinness World Records).Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
MBZUAI is "the world's first graduate-level, research-based AI university".Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
Omar Al Olama was the world's first minister for AI (Oct 2017).Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
First 200MW phase "in place and ready at some point in the third quarter" of 2026.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
Data-centre electricity roughly doubles from 485 TWh (2025) to 950 TWh (2030), about 3% of global demand.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
AI-based fault detection can cut outage durations by 30–50%.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
"Concerns that AI could accelerate climate change appear overstated, as do expectations that AI alone will address the issue."Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
Data-centre electricity about 415 TWh (1.5% of global) in 2024, rising to about 945 TWh by 2030.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
"Early evidence shows no effect on overall employment, but some signs of declining demand for early-career workers in some AI-exposed occupations."Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
170m jobs created and 92m displaced by 2030, net +78m; 22% of jobs change.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
About 40% of global jobs exposed to AI (about 60% in advanced economies); roughly half of exposed advanced-economy jobs may benefit, half may see lower demand. Risk of wider inequality.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
Neuralink: 21 trial participants; "zero serious device-related adverse events" so far.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
Content Credentials are "not a cure-all for misinformation". They show provenance, not truth.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
Eventually an IAEA-like international authority may be needed for systems above a capability threshold.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
Experimental evidence of "alignment faking" in Claude 3 Opus under artificial conditions (12% prompted; 78% alignment-faking reasoning after RL). Authors: does not show malicious goals.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
12 companies published or updated frontier AI safety frameworks in 2025.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
On loss of control: "Current systems lack the capabilities to pose such risks, but they are improving in relevant areas." Models increasingly distinguish test from deployment.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
More than half of researchers say misinformation, authoritarian control and worsening inequality warrant substantial or extreme concern.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
Median researcher: 5% chance of "extremely bad outcomes (e.g. human extinction)". 38–51% give at least 10%. About 68% think good outcomes more likely than bad.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
"Mitigating the risk of extinction from AI should be a global priority alongside other societal-scale risks such as pandemics and nuclear war."Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
Human-level AI / AGI by 2029; the Singularity (a "millionfold" expansion of intelligence) by 2045.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
Superintelligence: "any intellect that greatly exceeds the cognitive performance of humans in virtually all domains of interest".Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
AI progress to 2030 could plateau, continue or accelerate. Capabilities are "jagged".Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
Full automation of all occupations at 50% probability around 2116.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
Aggregate forecast: 50% chance that unaided machines outperform humans at every task by 2047; 10% by 2027.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
"There's absolutely no way … that autoregressive LLMs, the type that we know today, will reach human intelligence." Scaling "is saturating".Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
After powerful AI arrives, AI could compress "the next 50-100 years of biological progress" into 5–10 years.Tracker claim · No single place · 28 September 2026
"Powerful AI" (smarter than a Nobel laureate across most fields, able to act autonomously for days) "could come as early as 2026, though there are also ways it could take much longer."Article · No single place · 16 July 2026
July 2026: an evaluation agent, a leaky sandbox, then Hugging FaceArticle · No single place · 9 July 2026
GPT-5.6 Sol: the flagship released in July 2026Article · No single place · 7 August 2025
GPT-5: one system that chooses when to thinkArticle · No single place · 27 February 2025
GPT-4.5: a larger chat model, not a reasoning modelArticle · No single place · 12 September 2024
o1: models that take longer to thinkArticle · No single place · 13 May 2024
GPT-4o: the same family, faster, and on the free tierArticle · No single place · 14 March 2023
GPT-4: the first big step after ChatGPT