CR-K22
On track
The length of tasks AI agents can complete doubles roughly every 7 months.
- Claim made
- Who
- METR
- Target date
- Trend (no deadline)
- Status checked
- 28 September 2026
Source
Evidence to date
29 Jan 2026: TH1.1 keeps the ~7-month (196-day) doubling over the whole period; faster since 2023 (131 days) and since 2024 (89 days). METR notes sensitivity to task choice (METR TH1.1, 29 Jan 2026).
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