CR-K19
MissedDisputed
"Within thirty years, we will have the technological means to create superhuman intelligence."
- Claim made
- Who
- Vernor Vinge
- Target date
- 1993 + 30 = 2023
- Status checked
- 28 September 2026
Source
Evidence to date
No consensus that superhuman intelligence existed by 2023; some argue today's systems are superhuman in narrow domains. Large language models did arrive in that window.
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