CR-R02
Reference
Median researcher: 5% chance of "extremely bad outcomes (e.g. human extinction)". 38–51% give at least 10%. About 68% think good outcomes more likely than bad.
- Claim made
- Who
- Grace et al.
- Target date
- —
- Status checked
- 28 September 2026
Source
JAIR [S]
Evidence to date
Opinion snapshot.
Next indicator
Next edition of the survey