Tracker

CR-T06

Reference

AI progress to 2030 could plateau, continue or accelerate. Capabilities are "jagged".

Claim made
Who
International AI Safety Report 2026
Target date
2030
Status checked
28 September 2026

Source

Evidence to date

Framing, not a single prediction. Consistent with AI Index 2026's "jagged frontier" (AI Index 2026 report page).

Next indicator

AI Safety Report 2027