CR-T04
Reference
Aggregate forecast: 50% chance that unaided machines outperform humans at every task by 2047; 10% by 2027.
- Claim made
- Who
- Grace et al., survey of 2,778 AI researchers
- Target date
- 2027 (10%) / 2047 (50%)
- Status checked
- 28 September 2026
Source
JAIR [S]
Evidence to date
Opinion snapshot. Not a prediction that can be "achieved".
Next indicator
Next edition of the survey