CR-K14
EmergingDisputed
AI's impacts will unfold over decades, like electricity, as institutions adapt.
- Claim made
- Who
- Narayanan & Kapoor
- Target date
- Decades
- Status checked
- 28 September 2026
Source
Evidence to date
Supporting: no effect on overall employment yet (IASR 2026); modest macro estimates (CR-K28). Challenging: generative AI reached 53% adoption in three years, faster than the PC or internet; "workforce disruption has moved from prediction to reality" (AI Index 2026 takeaways).
Next indicator
Macro productivity data; employment data