CR-T01
لم يتحقق بعد
"Powerful AI" (smarter than a Nobel laureate across most fields, able to act autonomously for days) "could come as early as 2026, though there are also ways it could take much longer."
- تاريخ التصريح
- القائل
- Dario Amodei (Anthropic)
- الموعد
- 2026 (earliest); review Jan 2027
- آخر تحقق من الحالة
- 28 سبتمبر 2026
المصدر
الأدلة حتى الآن
29 Jan 2026: best measured 50% time horizon about 320 minutes on software tasks (Claude Opus 4.5), i.e. hours, not days (METR TH1.1, 29 Jan 2026). 3 Feb 2026: capabilities "jagged" (IASR 2026).
المؤشر التالي
Any independent evaluation showing multi-day autonomous work across most fields; METR updates; AI Safety Report 2027